Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZNPrice Projections & Market Scenarios
Current Price
$256.78
LinearAI Bubble
End of 2026 Target
Projected closing price (Bubble Scenario)
$220.28
-14% Growth
Yearly Price Targets (2025-2030)
| Year | Forecast Price | Growth vs Today |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $220.28 | -14% |
| 2027 | $153.47 | -40% |
| 2028 | $168.82 | -34% |
| 2029 | $186.39 | -27% |
| 2030 | $205.45 | -20% |
| 2031 | $227.98 | -11% |
Risk Analysis (Bubble)
The "AI Bubble" model assumes an unsustainable price acceleration through 2026, driven by retail hype, followed by a sharp correction in 2027 as revenue fails to match Capex.
StabilityHigh Risk
AnalysisLive
Confidence67%
Amazon’s latest consensus target in the gathered results is clustered around $323-$328, implying roughly 26%-28% upside from the current $256.78 price, while consensus rating remains broadly bullish145. Recent estimates also show FY2026 EPS around $13.06 and revenue near $829.39B, with FY2027 EPS estimated lower at $10.58, signaling near-term earnings volatility even as long-run growth remains intact[11][12].
Key Insights
- •Consensus price targets are materially above the current price, with Street averages around $323-$328 and upside near 26%-28%45[15].
- •Near-term earnings expectations are strong for FY2026, but FY2027 EPS estimates are softer, which supports a range of outcomes rather than a straight-line advance[11][12].
- •A severe AI spending reset could compress valuation sharply in 2026-2027, but Amazon’s diversified retail, advertising, and cloud base supports a multi-year recovery path[12].
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