Alphabet Inc.
GOOGLPrice Projections & Market Scenarios
Current Price
$338.46
LinearAI Bubble
End of 2026 Target
Projected closing price (Bubble Scenario)
$286.67
-15% Growth
Yearly Price Targets (2025-2030)
| Year | Forecast Price | Growth vs Today |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $286.67 | -15% |
| 2027 | $203.08 | -40% |
| 2028 | $223.39 | -34% |
| 2029 | $243.69 | -28% |
| 2030 | $264.00 | -22% |
| 2031 | $291.76 | -14% |
Risk Analysis (Bubble)
The "AI Bubble" model assumes an unsustainable price acceleration through 2026, driven by retail hype, followed by a sharp correction in 2027 as revenue fails to match Capex.
StabilityHigh Risk
AnalysisLive
Confidence63%
Alphabet’s latest reported quarter showed revenue of $119.8 billion and EPS of $9.11, well above consensus, while the current-year EPS consensus is about $20.5 and one recent analyst lifted FY2026 EPS to $20.5623. Wall Street sentiment remains constructive, with reported average price targets around $415.55 to $420.19 and some bullish single-analyst targets as high as $515, implying meaningful upside from the current $338.46 level12.
Key Insights
- •Consensus FY2026 EPS is around $20.5, with a recent estimate raised to $20.56, indicating continued earnings momentum23.
- •Recent analyst aggregation places Alphabet’s average price target near $415.55-$420.19, above the current price by roughly 23%-24%12.
- •Alphabet’s recent quarter beat on both revenue and EPS, but rising AI capex and negative free cash flow create the main downside risk if ROI on AI spending disappoints2.
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