Tesla, Inc.
TSLAPrice Projections & Market Scenarios
Current Price
$365.44
LinearAI Bubble
End of 2026 Target
Projected closing price (Bubble Scenario)
$300.15
-18% Growth
Yearly Price Targets (2025-2030)
| Year | Forecast Price | Growth vs Today |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $300.15 | -18% |
| 2027 | $225.00 | -38% |
| 2028 | $238.50 | -35% |
| 2029 | $262.35 | -28% |
| 2030 | $286.38 | -22% |
| 2031 | $309.35 | -15% |
Risk Analysis (Bubble)
The "AI Bubble" model assumes an unsustainable price acceleration through 2026, driven by retail hype, followed by a sharp correction in 2027 as revenue fails to match Capex.
StabilityHigh Risk
AnalysisLive
Confidence62%
Tesla’s current analyst consensus is clustered around roughly $390-$402 per share, with recent coverage showing a mean target near $390.09, another consensus target at $401.74, and a broader range that includes both very bullish and very bearish views25[6]. Recent quarter data showed revenue growth but weaker EPS, while forward estimates still imply revenue growth and a rebound in earnings, which supports a base-case path above the current price but not without volatility[10][13].
Key Insights
- •Street consensus still implies modest upside from the current price, with average targets around $390.09-$401.74 versus $365.44 today25[6].
- •The latest reported quarter showed revenue up 25.5% year over year, but adjusted EPS fell 17.5%, highlighting execution pressure despite growth[10].
- •Analyst expectations for FY2026 and FY2027 still point to revenue growth and earnings recovery, but valuation remains stretched with high P/E multiples and wide target dispersion[7][13].
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